Category Archives: Quick Quill

Equity Volatility at Risk from Higher Rate Vol and Cyclical Recession Flags

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Watch for Below-Consensus Core PCE as Consumer Anxiety Augurs Travel Disinflation

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Dallas Fed Reports Flag Lending Cycle Turn Even as Fed Plans to Tighten Further

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Defense Spending Can’t Offset Fed Misfires

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The Treasury Curve’s Tighter Financial Conditions Risk a Growth Downgrade

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Higher Capacity and Cost Pressures Ignite Investors’ Worries About Disorderly Rate Moves

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The Fed’s Misguided Vigilance Amidst Slower Growth Reinforces Our Curve Flattener Call

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Elevated Discretionary Travel Pressures Increasingly Cast Rate Hike as a Policy Error

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Evidence Continues to Mount on the Turn in AI Invest

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Upstream Inflation Points to Downstream Margin Pressures as Housing Weakness Deepens

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